Free pick predictions
Monday, October 5th, 2026
Cyprus
World
UEFA Nations League
17:00
2:1
Latvia
Italy
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
3:1
Türkiye
Ukraine
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
1:2
Hungary
Northern Ireland
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
0:0
Georgia
Bosnia & Herzegovina
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
1:0
Poland
Romania
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
0:1
Sweden
Montenegro
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
0:0
Armenia
France
World
UEFA Nations League
19:45
4:1
Belgium
Moss
Norway
1. Division
18:00
0:2
Kongsvinger
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Plan results
Rolling 8-day snapshot
Mon
05/10
Sun
04/10
Sat
03/10
Fri
02/10
Thu
01/10
Wed
30/09
Tue
29/09
Mon
28/09
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Italy
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
3:1
Türkiye
Italy
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
3:1
Türkiye
Ukraine
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
1:2
Hungary
Bosnia & Herzegovina
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
1:0
Poland
Romania
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
0:1
Sweden
Romania
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
0:1
Sweden
France
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
4:1
Belgium
Moss
Norway
1. Division
05/10
0:2
Kongsvinger
Cyprus
World
UEFA Nations League
05/10
2:1
Latvia
Portugal
World
UEFA Nations League
04/10
2:1
Norway
Last updated 31 August 2026. Ten Premier League games run from Friday 4 to Sunday 6 September. The one to take is Newcastle United against AFC Bournemouth at 12.30 on Saturday. Newcastle won 2-0 at Tottenham on 29 August. Bournemouth have taken one point from two matches.
Saturday and Sunday picks
| Match | Day and time | Prediction | Confidence | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth | Sat, 12.30pm | Newcastle to win | 74% | Elanga and Wissa scored inside ten minutes of each other at Tottenham on 29 August. Bournemouth drew 1-1 at home to Everton the same weekend. |
| Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur | Sat, 3pm | Forest to avoid defeat | 71% | Tottenham have not scored a league goal this season. They lost 3-0 at Brentford and 0-2 at home to Newcastle. |
| Hull City v Aston Villa | Sat, 5.30pm | Hull City to avoid defeat | 85% | Hull have won twice without conceding, including 2-0 against Manchester United on 22 August. Villa were beaten 4-0 at Brighton. |
| Manchester City v Coventry City | Sat, 3pm | Manchester City to win | 92% | City won 4-1 at Crystal Palace on 28 August. Coventry have played two and scored nothing. |
| Arsenal v Chelsea | Sun, 4.30pm | Over 2.5 goals | 68% | Chelsea won 3-2 at Fulham and 4-3 at home to Brighton inside eight days. |
Manchester City is the likeliest result on the page and the worst bet on it. At 92% the fair price is about 1.09, and nobody is offering that plus a margin. Newcastle at 74% is where the gap between what we think and what the market thinks is widest.
Arsenal against Chelsea is the honest uncertainty of the weekend. Arsenal have played one league game, a 3-0 win over Coventry, and they travel to Villa Park on Monday 31 August before this. One home fixture is not enough to price a result, which is why the goal line is the only part of that match we will touch.
Goals and both-teams-to-score angles
- Brighton v Leeds United, Sat 3pm, over 2.5 goals (64%). Brighton scored four against Aston Villa and three at Stamford Bridge, and have conceded four themselves.
- Ipswich Town v Liverpool, Fri 4 Sept 8pm, both teams to score (62%). Liverpool have drawn 2-2 twice. Ipswich scored twice at Old Trafford on 30 August.
- Everton v Manchester United, Sun 2pm, both teams to score (58%). Everton have scored in both games; United conceded twice to Ipswich.
Three we are leaving alone
- Fulham v Crystal Palace, Sat 3pm. Two sides on zero points. Palace have conceded six in two games and Fulham have lost both, 3-2 at home to Chelsea and 1-0 at Sunderland.
- Brentford v Sunderland, Sat 3pm. Brentford beat Tottenham 3-0 and then drew 1-1 at Leeds. Sunderland won 1-0 through a 75th-minute Isidor goal. Neither record points anywhere.
- Everton v Manchester United on the result. United lost 2-0 at Hull and won 5-2 against Ipswich in the space of nine days. The goals market is playable. The winner is not.
Related pages
The both-teams-to-score selections above are worked through on BTTS tips today, and the Saturday picks are combined into a slip on accumulator of the day. If goal markets are your main interest, our guide to the best leagues for over 2.5 goals explains where the numbers hold up across a season.
How this card is put together
- Fixtures, dates, kick-off times and home advantage are checked against a live fixture list every Monday before a word is written.
- Confidence figures are published before kick-off and stay on the page afterwards.
- Matches without enough evidence are named in the section above rather than quietly filled in with a pick.
Frequently asked questions
When does this page change?
Every Monday for the weekend ahead, and again on Friday if team news moves a selection.
Why is the highest-confidence pick not the recommended bet?
Because you are betting against a price, not against a probability. A 92% pick at odds of 1.05 is a losing bet over time. A 74% pick at 1.55 is not.
Will the card be this full all month?
No. The mens international window runs from 21 September to 6 October 2026, so club fixtures thin out sharply after the middle of the month.
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