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Bradford
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
4:0
York
Crewe
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
1:2
Wigan
Crewe
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
1:2
Wigan
Mansfield Town
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
3:5
Chesterfield
Burton Albion
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
0:3
Notts County
Huddersfield
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
4:0
Liverpool U21
Huddersfield
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
4:0
Liverpool U21
Leicester
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
2:1
Walsall
Leicester
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
2:1
Walsall
Leicester
England
EFL Trophy
10/11
2:1
Walsall
Last updated 31 August 2026. Saturday 5 September gives us a three-leg slip: Hull City to avoid defeat against Aston Villa, Newcastle United to beat AFC Bournemouth, and Manchester City to beat Coventry City. Combined probability, 58%.
Acca of the day, Saturday 5 September 2026
| Leg | Match | Kick-off | Selection | Confidence | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hull City v Aston Villa | 5.30pm | Hull double chance | 85% | Hull have won both matches without conceding, 2-0 against Manchester United and 1-0 at Coventry. Villa lost 4-0 at Brighton on 23 August. |
| 2 | Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth | 12.30pm | Newcastle to win | 74% | Elanga and Wissa scored in a 2-0 win at Tottenham on 29 August. Bournemouth have one point from two games. |
| 3 | Manchester City v Coventry City | 3pm | Manchester City to win | 92% | Haaland and Cherki scored twice each in a 4-1 win at Crystal Palace on 28 August. Coventry have not scored a league goal this season. |
Hull is the leg doing the real work here. Two clean sheets and a win over Manchester United have not yet been priced in, partly because the sample is small and partly because bookmakers are slow to move on a side nobody expected to start like this. Double chance keeps the leg alive if Villa take a point.
Why the slip stops at three
0.92 times 0.85 times 0.74 gives 58%. Add a fourth leg you rate at 80% and the slip drops to 46%. The odds look better and the bet gets worse. Every acca on this page publishes its combined figure for that reason, and any slip that falls under 50% gets a leg removed rather than a longer price attached.
Alternative slips
- Two-leg goals slip (42%). Over 2.5 goals in Arsenal v Chelsea on Sunday at 68%, plus both teams to score in Ipswich v Liverpool on Friday at 62%.
- Single bet. Newcastle to win at 74%. On this card it is the selection where our number and the market number are furthest apart.
Legs we did not include
- Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur, Sat 3pm. Tottenham have not scored in two games, but Forest have not won in two either. A leg that only half stands up does not go on.
- Fulham v Crystal Palace, Sat 3pm. Both sides are on zero points. Palace have conceded six.
- Everton v Manchester United, Sun 2pm. United lost 2-0 at Hull and beat Ipswich 5-2 in nine days. Not a result you can put on a slip.
Related pages
Every leg above comes from the full card on weekend football predictions, and the goals alternative is set out on BTTS tips today. If you build accas around goal markets, our guide to the best leagues for over 2.5 goals covers where those legs hold up over a season.
How we build the daily acca
- Three legs, never more, and each one has to be a bet we would place on its own.
- No two legs from the same match, and none from fixtures where one result can affect another.
- The combined probability is published before kick-off, not after.
- Double chance is used where a draw is a live outcome, rather than stretching a win selection to fit the price.
Frequently asked questions
How many legs should an accumulator have?
Three. Four legs at 80% each come to 41%, which is a losing bet at most advertised prices.
Do acca insurance offers make longer slips worthwhile?
Rarely. Most require five legs to qualify, which is the exact behaviour the offer is designed to produce.
When is this page updated?
Every Monday with a fresh slip, and again if team news changes a leg before kick-off.
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